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On the lease rate, the convenience yield and speculative effects in the gold futures market

Theal, John ; Barone Adesi, Giovanni (Dir.) ; Geman, Hélyette (Codir.)

Thèse de doctorat : Università della Svizzera italiana, 2009 ; 2009ECO005.

By examining the gold leasing market and employing data on the gold forward offered rate (GOFO) and derived lease rates, we propose that rather than using the interest-adjusted basis as a proxy for the convenience yield of gold, the convenience yield is better approximated by the derived gold lease rate. Additionally, using the interest-adjusted basis as opposed to the lease rate can lead to...