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Global glacier volume projections under high-end climate change scenarios

Shannon, Sarah ; Smith, Robin ; Wiltshire, Andy ; Payne, Tony ; Huss, Matthias ; Betts, Richard ; Caesar, John ; Koutroulis, Aris ; Jones, Darren ; Harrison, Stephan

In: The Cryosphere, 2019, vol. 13, no. 1, p. 325–350

The Paris agreement aims to hold global warming to well below 2 ∘C and to pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 ∘C relative to the pre-industrial period. Recent estimates based on population growth and intended carbon emissions from participant countries suggest global warming may exceed this ambitious target. Here we present glacier volume projections for the end of this century, under a...