Working papers SES

Working papers SES
La collezione Working Papers SES è costituita da una serie di quaderni di ricerca che presentano i diversi lavori svolti nell'ambito della Facoltà di scienze economiche e sociali dell'Università di Friborgo (Svizzera). La collezione esiste dal 1980 ed i temi affrontati riflettono i diversi orientamenti scientifici dei membri della Facoltà: economia politica, gestione aziendale, informatica di gestione, scienze sociali e scienze della comunicazione e dei media. Il contenuto dei lavori impegna la sola responsabilità degli autori.
Université de Fribourg

Transnational machine learning with screens for flagging bid-rigging cartels

Huber, Martin ; Imhof, David ; Ishii, Rieko

(Working Papers SES ; 519)

We investigate the transnational transferability of statistical screening methods originally developed using Swiss data for detecting bid-rigging cartels in Japan. We find that combining screens for the distribution of bids in tenders with machine learning to classify collusive vs. competitive tenders entails a correct classification rate of 88% to 93% when training and testing the method...

Université de Fribourg

Machine learning approach for flagging incomplete bid-rigging cartels

Wallimann, Hannes ; Imhof, David ; Huber, Martin

(Working Papers SES ; 513)

We propose a new method for flagging bid rigging, which is particularly useful for detecting incomplete bid-rigging cartels. Our approach combines screens, i.e. statistics derived from the distribution of bids in a tender, with machine learning to predict the probability of collusion. As a methodological innovation, we calculate such screens for all possible subgroups of three or four bids...

Université de Fribourg

An introduction to flexible methods for policy evaluation

Huber, Martin

(Working Papers SES ; 504)

This chapter covers different approaches to policy evaluation for assessing the causal effect of a treatment or intervention on an outcome of interest. As an introduction to causal inference, the discussion starts with the experimental evaluation of a randomized treatment. It then reviews evaluation methods based on selection on observables (assuming a quasi-random treatment given observed...