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Université de Fribourg

August 2005 intense rainfall event in Switzerland: not necessarily an analog for strong convective events in a greenhouse climate

Beniston, Martin

In: Geophysical research letters, 2006, vol. 33, p. L0570

The intense convective storms that affected the Swiss Alps in late August 2005 resulted in what has been referred to as the “floods of the century” (i.e., the past 100 years). While exceptional in terms of their intensity, the 2005 storms do not appear to be anchored within any long-term trends; there are no more intense storms today than a century ago. Despite uncertainties related to...

Université de Fribourg

The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations

Beniston, Martin

In: Geophysical Research Letters, 2004, vol. 31, p. L02202

The 2003 heat wave that affected much of Europe from June to September bears a close resemblance to what many regional climate models are projecting for summers in the latter part of the 21st century. Model results suggest that under enhanced atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations, summer temperatures are likely to increase by over 4°C on average, with a corresponding increase in the...