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Semi-automated calibration method for modelling of mountain permafrost evolution in Switzerland

Marmy, Antoine ; Rajczak, Jan ; Delaloye, Reynald ; Hilbich, Christin ; Hoelzle, Martin ; Kotlarski, Sven ; Lambiel, Christophe ; Noetzli, Jeannette ; Phillips, Marcia ; Salzmann, Nadine ; Staub, Benno ; Hauck, Christian

In: The Cryosphere, 2016, vol. 10, no. 6, p. 2693–2719

Permafrost is a widespread phenomenon in mountainous regions of the world such as the European Alps. Many important topics such as the future evolution of permafrost related to climate change and the detection of permafrost related to potential natural hazards sites are of major concern to our society. Numerical permafrost models are the only tools which allow for the projection of the future...

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Robust climate scenarios for sites with sparse observations: a two-step bias correction approach

Rajczak, Jan ; Kotlarski, Sven ; Salzmann, Nadine ; Schär, Christoph

In: International Journal of Climatology, 2016, vol. 36, no. 3, p. 1226–1243

Observed and projected climatic changes demand for robust assessments of climate impacts on various environmental and anthropogenic systems. Empirical-statistical downscaling (ESD) methods coupled to output from climate model projections are promising tools to assess impacts at regional to local scale. ESD methods correct for common model deficiencies in accuracy (e.g. model biases) and scale...

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