Università della Svizzera italiana

Equilibrium asset pricing with time-varying pessimism

Sbuelz, Alessandro ; Trojani, Fabio

We present a flexible analytical framework that incorporates the equilibrium impact of a (possibly state dependent) sentiment for pessimism in continuous time intertemporal asset pricing. State dependent pessimism comes from a state dependent confidence in the reference belief on equity returns dynamics and implies conservative optimal policies precisely in states where such confidence is low. In...