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Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections

Beniston, Martin ; Stephenson, David B. ; Christensen, Ole B. ; Ferro, Christopher A. T. ; Frei, Christoph ; Goyette, Stéphane ; Halsnaes, Kirsten ; Holt, Tom ; Jylhä, Kirsti ; Koffi, Brigitte ; Palutikof, Jean ; Schöll, Regina ; Semmler, Tido ; Woth, Katja

In: Climatic Change, 2007, vol. 81, no. Supl. 1, p. 71-95

This paper presents an overview of changes in the extreme events that are most likely to affect Europe in forthcoming decades. A variety of diagnostic methods are used to determine how heat waves, heavy precipitation, drought, wind storms, and storm surges change between present (1961–90) and future (2071–2100) climate on the basis of regional climate model simulations produced by the...

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Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions

Beniston, Martin ; Stephenson, David B.

In: Global and Planetary Change, 2004, vol. 44, p. 1-9

This short introductory paper illustrates some key issues concerning extremes by focusing on daily temperature extremes defined using quantiles and threshold exceedances. The examples include both a low- and a high-elevation site in the Swiss Alps where long records of homogenous daily data are readily available. The analysis of extremes highlights several features, some of them taken from...

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