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Université de Fribourg

High uncertainty in 21st century runoff projections from glacierized basins

Huss, Matthias ; Zemp, Michael ; Joerg, Philip C. ; Salzmann, Nadine

In: Journal of Hydrology, 2014, vol. 510, p. 35–48

Glacier response to a changing climate and its impact on runoff is understood in general terms, but model-based projections are affected by considerable uncertainties. They originate from the driving climate model, input data quality, and simplifications in the glacio-hydrological model and hamper the reliability of the simulations. Here, an integrative assessment of the uncertainty in 21st...