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Università della Svizzera italiana

Variable selection for marginal longitudinal generalized linear models

Cantoni, Eva ; Mills-Flemming, Joanna ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Biometrics, 2005, vol. 61, no. 2, p. 507-514

Variable selection is an essential part of any statistical analysis and yet has been somewhat neglected in the context of longitudinal data analysis. In this paper we propose a generalized version of Mallows's Cp (GCp) suitable for use with both parametric and nonparametric models. GCp provides an estimate of a measure of model's adequacy for prediction. We examine its performance with popular...

Università della Svizzera italiana

A robust approach for skewed and heavy-tailed outcomes in the analysis of health care expenditures

Cantoni, Eva ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Journal of Health Economics, 2006, vol. 25, no. 2, p. 198-213

In this paper robust statistical procedures are presented for the analysis of skewed and heavy-tailed outcomes as they typically occur in health care data. The new estimators and test statistics are extensions of classical maximum likelihood techniques for generalized linear models. In contrast to their classical counterparts, the new robust techniques show lower variability and excellent...

Università della Svizzera italiana

Robust inference for generalized linear models

Cantoni, Eva ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2001, vol. 96, no. 455, p. 1022-1030

By starting from a natural class of robust estimators for generalized linear models based on the notion of quasi-likelihood, we de¯ne robust deviances that can be used for stepwise model selection as in the classical framework. We derive the asymptotic distribution of tests based on robust deviances and we investigate the stability of their asymptotic level under contamination. The binomial and...

Università della Svizzera italiana

Variable selection in additive models by nonnegative garrote

Cantoni, Eva ; Mills Flemming, Joanna ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Statistical modelling, 2011, vol. 11, no. 3, p. 237-252

We adapt Breiman’s (1995) nonnegative garrote method to perform variable selection in nonparametric additive models. The technique avoids methods of testing for which no general reliable distributional theory is available. In addition it removes the need for a full search of all possible models, something which is computationally intensive, especially when the number of variables is...

Università della Svizzera italiana

Indirect robust estimation of the short-term interest rate process

Czellara, Veronika ; Karolyib, G. Andrew ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Journal of Empirical Finance, 2007, vol. 14, no. 4, p. 546-563

We propose Indirect Robust Generalized Method of Moments (IRGMM), a simulationbased estimation methodology, to model short-term interest rate processes. The primary advantage of IRGMM relative to classical estimators of the continuous-time short-rate diffusion processes is that it corrects both the errors due to discretization and the errors due to model misspecification. We apply this approach...

Università della Svizzera italiana

Robust tests of predictive accuracy

Dell’Aquila, Rosario ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Metron, 2004, vol. 62, no. 2, p. 161-184

We propose robust counterparts to tests of equal forecast accuracy such as those proposed by Diebold and Mariano (1995) and West (1996). We illustrate the robustness problem and evaluate the size and the power properties of the classical and robust tests under various types of deviations from model assumptions. The new robust test has a correct size and larger power across a wide spectrum of...

Università della Svizzera italiana

Saddlepoint approximations for multivariate M -estimates with applications to bootstrap accuracy

Field, Chris ; Robinson, John ; Ronchetti, Elvezio

In: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2008, vol. 60, no. 1, p. 205-224

We obtain marginal tail area approximations for the one-dimensional test statistic based on the appropriate component of the M-estimate for both standardized and Studentized versions which are needed for tests and confidence intervals. The result is proved under conditions which allow the application to finite sample situations such as the bootstrap and involves a careful discretization with...

Università della Svizzera italiana

General saddlepoint approximations of marginal densities and tail probabilities

Gatto, Riccardo ; Ronchetti, Elvezio ; della Svizzera italiana, Svizzera

In: Journal of the American statistical association, 1996, vol. 91, no. 434, p. 666-673

Saddlepoint approximations of marginal densities and tail probabilities of general nonlinear statistics are derived. They are based on the expansion of the statistic up to the second order. Their accuracy is shown in a variety of examples, including logit and probit models and rank estimators for regression.

Università della Svizzera italiana

Estimation of generalized linear latent variable models

Huber, Philippe ; Ronchetti, Elvezio ; Victoria-Feser, Maria-Pia

In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2004, vol. 66, no. 4, p. 893–908

Generalized Linear Latent Variable Models (GLLVM), as defined in Bartholomew and Knott (1999) enable modelling of relationships between manifest and latent variables. They extend structural equation modelling techniques, which are powerful tools in the social sciences. However, because of the complexity of the log-likelihood function of a GLLVM, an approximation such as numerical integration must...