Is the 2008 financial turmoil increasing the risk of a bank run ? : an empirical research in Geneva

Catenazzo, Giuseppe ; Fragnière, Emmanuel ; Ribordy, Bastien ; Tuberosa, Jean

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    In this paper, we present the results of an empirical study that attempts to analyse the risk of bank run in Geneva, Switzerland. Two similar surveys have been conducted upon two independent samples of Geneva population (June 2008 and February 2009) to detect the existence of predictive signals leading to a bank run within the selected area. We discover that Geneva inhabitants are generally confident in Swiss banks; the risk of a bank run in the area is low. However, reliance to the national banking system is worsening: the number of people fearing about their savings and those thinking the default of a major Swiss bank as “possible” has significantly risen. Also, more and more people keep updated about the current financial crisis; overall trust in Swiss banks has slightly decreased.